<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<!--Generated by Squarespace Site Server v5.0.0 (http://www.squarespace.com/) on Thu, 21 Aug 2008 04:02:51 GMT--><feed xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"><title>GW Discourse's Domestic Intel Blog</title><subtitle>Domestic Intel</subtitle><id>http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/</id><link rel="alternate" type="application/xhtml+xml" href="http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/"/><link rel="self" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/atom.xml"/><updated>2008-08-16T17:15:13Z</updated><generator uri="http://www.squarespace.com/" version="Squarespace Site Server v5.0.0 (http://www.squarespace.com/)">Squarespace</generator><entry><title>A Prayer for Common Sense</title><id>http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/8/16/a-prayer-for-common-sense.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/8/16/a-prayer-for-common-sense.html"/><author><name>zach bogner</name></author><published>2008-08-16T17:13:15Z</published><updated>2008-08-16T17:13:15Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Coming up soon in Washington, and right in GW’s backyard, is a forum on the faith and religion of the two candidates, or as I like to call it—the biggest fault in the modern American political system. Why are so many people hell bent on forcing religion into government? I don’t know about any of you, but I could care less about how many times a week Obama goes to church, or when McCain accepted Jesus as his savior. Even though I’m Jewish, I still didn’t check to see if Liberman had been bar mitzvahed before I voted for him as VP on the 2000 ticket. As crazy as it may sound, I am more preoccupied with the candidates economic, domestic, and foreign policy, instead of their private religious beliefs. I believe the main fault in the current political system is we keep electing good Priests and Pastors, instead of electing good leaders. When will an election come when the candidates policies on governing the country will be more important than the candidates Church? <br>&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;While I am on the topic of religion, I’m tired of having to hear Obama fend off what is considered a candidacy killing possibility of him being a Muslim. The correct answer to whether or not Obama is a Muslim should be-SO, WHAT IF HE IS ONE-the possibility of being a Muslim should not be a plague on the Obama campaign. With all the problems America is having in the predominantly Muslim Middle East I don’t think it would be a bad idea for America to elect a Muslim to help our standing in that region of the world. Still, even if Obama is a Muslim, that wouldn’t make me want to vote for him anymore than I would want to not vote for him, because his policies matter more to me than his private faith. <br><br>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Dread and Odium on the Campaign Trail '08: Poverty</title><category>08 Election Issues</category><id>http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/8/10/dread-and-odium-on-the-campaign-trail-08-poverty.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/8/10/dread-and-odium-on-the-campaign-trail-08-poverty.html"/><author><name>Paz</name></author><published>2008-08-10T02:36:17Z</published><updated>2008-08-10T02:36:17Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>

 
 
</p><div id="yof-">As the bad news about the economy continues to compound this
week, it is worth taking a look at the people whose lot is even worse
off than usual: the working and lower classes.&nbsp; John Edwards, in his
campaign, made a big deal about the concept of "Two Americas", but
because of the historic nature of his competition, he was largely shut
out in the press, and despite his hope that poverty would become a
major issue for the two remaining candidates, it didn't.&nbsp; Nevertheless,
it is a major issue to me, and frankly should be to anyone living in a
metropolitan area.</div>
<div id="yof-0">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="yof-1">Before I go to the position papers, it is probably
worth noting a few general assumptions about the two candidates.&nbsp; If
neither candidate said anything at all about poverty (and by and large,
I am speaking of urban and suburban poverty, not rural poverty) there
are a few general assumptions that one could make about the
candidates.&nbsp; If John McCain were represented by a city, it would be
Phoenix, which although it certainly has a poverty problem, is no
Camden.&nbsp; Obama would be Chicago, and represents the rich tradition of
urban poverty problems and solutions that have been a part of the city
since the days&nbsp;of Jane Addams and Upton Sinclair.&nbsp; Yet&nbsp;Obama treads a
thin line on urban poverty, not only because he is African American
(though the "Welfare Queen" neologism of Ronald Reagan is a myth:&nbsp;<a id="scpr" title="a slight majorty of welfare recipents are white" href="http://www.apa.org/pi/wpo/myths.html">a slight plurality of welfare recipients are white</a>)&nbsp;
but because he is a Democrat, and&nbsp;popular support for government&nbsp;aid
has eroded since the time of the&nbsp;Great Society (for an excellent
discussion of the fall of welfare, I would recommend Peter Edelman's
book&nbsp;<em id="p1we">Searching for America's Heart: RFK and the</em> <em id="p1we0">Renewal of Hope</em>), making it difficult for a Democrat to be in support of the public dole.</div>
<div id="n9pb">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="n9pb0">So let us go to the tape.&nbsp; Or the papers, as it may
be.&nbsp; Senator McCain?&nbsp; No public stance.&nbsp; Now,&nbsp;keep in mind he does have
an "economic plan" with his policies to get the United States back on
solid footing (the plan, incidentally, has a list of academic
economists who endorse it, including Professors Howard Beales and
Michael Moore of GWU).&nbsp; But so does Senator Obama.&nbsp;I was looking for
something specifically related to poverty, so I searched his website.&nbsp;
The first hit for "poverty" was a statement from April 4th, which reads
<a id="v6zb" title="like so" href="http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/News/PressReleases/DDD2C9B9-D16E-460F-8F50-2D7411CBF15C.htm">like so</a>:</div>
<div id="lqz6">&nbsp;</div>
<blockquote id="u73o" dir="ltr" style="margin-right: 0px;">
<div id="u73o0">"Some people lament privately, others are brave enough
to take their call for change to the public arena. Martin Luther King
III has done his father's legacy proud this week by courageously
insisting that our nation's next leader do something about the poverty
that ensnares over 36 million of our citizens. I will answer his call,
and tell him and the American people today that I will make the
eradication of poverty a top priority of the McCain Administration. A
strong and vibrant America, one in which people can move up into the
middle-class, put their kids through college, work hard and one day
retire in dignity, is critical not only to our economic future but to
the very security of our nation. As President, I will set aside the
needs of the special interests to advance the interests of the American
people, especially those 12 million children who deserve every
opportunity to achieve the American Dream." </div></blockquote>
<div id="shp9">That was it.&nbsp; A few mentions of his trip to Inez, Kentucky (the staging ground for LBJ's "War on Poverty", which McCain <a id="tb.0" title="said" href="http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/News/NewsReleases/0E03EE8D-BFA5-42F0-98C9-A73D327A4EC8.htm">said</a>
failed because of excessive government bureaucracy).&nbsp; If I may pull
from a few of his quotes that came up in linked articles on his
website, I believe you will have as close to his policy as I can get:</div>
<div id="shp90">&nbsp;</div>
<ul id="shp91"><li id="shp92"><a id="dsmd" title="&quot;Government has a role to play in helping people who through no fault of their own are having a hard time, but government can't create good and lasting jobs outside of government.&quot;" href="http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-04-23-mccain-ky_N.htm">"Government
has a role to play in helping people who through no fault of their own
are having a hard time, but government can't create good and lasting
jobs outside of government."</a> 
</li>
<li id="fe8n"><a id="t1t2" title="When asked if he could promise that he would not cut the discretionary federal programs that help the impoverished communities he visited, McCain answered carefully. &quot;I can't guarantee that every single program will be kept in place,&quot; he said. &quot;But I can guarantee that every program that's viable and that's achieving the purpose for which it is intended will be kept in place.&quot;" href="http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,1734983,00.html">When
asked if he could promise that he would not cut the discretionary
federal programs that help the impoverished communities he visited,
McCain answered carefully. "I can't guarantee that every single program
will be kept in place," he said. "But I can guarantee that every
program that's viable and that's achieving the purpose for which it is
intended will be kept in place."</a> 
</li>
<li id="vnro"><a id="agdb" title="&quot;I think we should establish a &quot;People Connect Program&quot; that rewards companies that offer high-speed Internet access services to underserved, low-income customers by allowing these companies to write off the cost of this service.&quot;" href="http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/News/PressReleases/48F363E5-533B-4A7C-B7D1-441D628B41B1.htm">"I
think we should establish a "People Connect Program" that rewards
companies that offer high-speed Internet access services to
underserved, low-income customers by allowing these companies to write
off the cost of this service."</a> </li>
</ul>
<div id="esgu">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="aak4">So does McCain have a poverty proposal?&nbsp; Not
particularly.&nbsp; His tour of Kentucky, Alabama, Ohio, and Louisiana in
April was noble, but there was very little in the way of actual policy
being discussed, other than the usual promises to make government more
transparent and listen more to the will of the people.&nbsp; And I get a
sneaking suspicion that some of those earmarks he's talking about
trimming include government aid programs.</div>
<div id="aak40">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="luof">So will Senator Obama be my white knight riding in to
slay the dragon of urban poverty?&nbsp; At least he has a plan.&nbsp; Weighing in
at about 7.5 pages,&nbsp; the poverty plan is entitled <a id="lbn_" title="&quot;Barack Obama: Fighting Poverty and Creating a Bridge to the Middle Class&quot;" href="http://www.barackobama.com/issues/pdf/FactSheetPoverty.pdf">"Barack Obama: Fighting Poverty and Creating a Bridge to the Middle Class"</a>.&nbsp;
Just in the title you can see that the campaign is trying to connect
the policy proposals with the larger American population (the middle
class), so that there is no perception that it just just government aid
to "the poor".&nbsp; The document starts with a little blurb about Obama's
time as a community organizer on the South Side of Chicago and his work
in the Illinois legislature.</div>
<div id="qr-v">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="qr-v0">The first meat and potatoes section is on jobs.&nbsp;
There's a discussion about transitional jobs and career pathways
programs, which Obama promises will be increased by $1 billon over five
years.&nbsp; transitional job programs would offer mentoring and social
services, as well as giving people experiences to take to the private
sector.&nbsp; Career pathways includes partnerships with employers,
organized labor, and community NGOs.&nbsp; The policies are vague, to be
sure, but there is a number associated with them.</div>
<div id="gkl3">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="gkl30">Freedom to unionize is next, including Obama's support
for the Employee Free Choice Act, which would force non-unionized
companies, like Walmart, to accept a union if the majority of the
workers wanted one.&nbsp;It's a pretty standard position for a Democrat to
have (all of the bill's co-sponsors in the Senate are Democrats or
independents).</div>
<div id="cb5g">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="cb5g0">A new program is announced, called "Energy Efficiency,
Environmental Education and Employment Disconnected Youth Service
Corps", which would work to get apprenticeships for green-collar jobs
and support for high school dropouts.&nbsp; Noble aims, to be sure, but
there is very little discussion of what role the government would
actually have in such a program.</div>
<div id="oyed">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="oyed0">You can look at my post on transit to see his next
plank, a discussion of improving transportation access to jobs.&nbsp; This
double reference highlights a trend that I am finding among Obama's
documents.&nbsp; True, he has many different position papers, but many pull
from each other.&nbsp; In a sense, this is a good thing.&nbsp; It means that
Obama is an interdisciplinarian at heart, and recognizes that a
holistic approach to problem fighting is key.&nbsp; However, it is a little
bit of a slight of hand.</div>
<div id="k45-">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="k45-0">The plan then talks about how Obama will strengthen the
Small Business Administration and increase the capital going to
ventures run by minorities or women.&nbsp; This approach also includes a
discussion of public-private incubators, which will provide aid to
small businesses until they are ready to operate in the private
sector.&nbsp; Obama promises $250 million a year for this plan.&nbsp; Like
McCain, Obama supports accessibility to the internet for all Americans
by way of public private partnerships.&nbsp; And in his final job related
plank, Obama wants to create prison-to-work programs that provide
counseling and employment opportunities to prison inmates.</div>
<div id="hg4q">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="hg4q0">We come then to the lightning rod of poverty fighting
programs, income assistance.&nbsp; Obama proposes tripling the Earned Income
Tax Credit (EITC).&nbsp; It is extremely important to note that the EITC is
the one being increased, not Temporary Assistance for Needy Families
(TANF), which Bill Clinton signed into law as a replacement for Aid to
Families with Dependant Children (AFDC).&nbsp; EITC is much more agreeable
to most Americans, because it is "workfare", or supplemental income,
than TANF or AFDC, which were/are meant for people without a job.&nbsp; By
saying nothing about TANF, Obama is taking a triangulated position that
does not put him in the position of being pro-welfare, because he can
argue that he is pro-workfare.</div>
<div id="fpcu">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="fpcu0">Obama supports raising the minimum wage to $9.50 an
hour by 2011 (which is nice), and indexing it to inflation (which is
nicer).&nbsp; </div>
<div id="fg8_">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="fg8_0">Obama has his own taxcut proposal.&nbsp; At up to $500 a
person, or $1,000 a family, it would offset payroll tax on the first
$8,100 of income.&nbsp; Called "Making Work Pay", the tax credit is expected
to eliminate income taxes for 10 million Americans, which is kind of
confusing because in the sentence before they were talking about
payroll, not income tax.</div>
<div id="vk:v">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="vk:v0">An interesting, and probably extremely unbalanced
proposal is put forward calling for the elimination of income taxes for
seniors who make under $50,000.&nbsp;The campaign itself says that it would
provide relief to 22 million Americans who would not file an income tax
return, and would eliminate income tax for seven million, which is sort
of confusing wording.</div>
<div id="qn90">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="qn900">Obama, it turns out, is pro-fatherhood.&nbsp; He supports
the Responsible Fatherhood and Healthy Families Act (RFHFA?) that would
provide funding for service support for fathers to decrease domestic
violence and single-parent homes.&nbsp; He describes an expansion of the
Nurse-Family Partnership that provides for home visits by nurses to low
income expectant mothers, which decreases prenatal health risks and
childhood injuries.&nbsp;&nbsp; The program would expand to cover 570,000 new
mothers a year.&nbsp; Obama would also require that all employees receive
seven paid sick days per year, though there is absolutely no mention of
how he would do so.</div>
<div id="rzgp">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="rzgp0">There is a section on education, but this post is
already running pretty long, and if you are still reading this far
down, you probably would not be at the end of the section.&nbsp; Suffice it
to say it can be covered in the education post.&nbsp;</div>
<div id="ysii">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="ysii0">Housing, then, is next on the agenda.&nbsp; I printed out
the position paper to read a few weeks ago, and when I did, there was a
plank about how Obama would use a portion of the profits from Fannie
and Freddie to fund an Affordable Housing Trust Fund to develop
mixed-income housing.&nbsp; Thinking that, of course, after Fannie's recent
$2.3 billion loss this quarter, and Freddie's $800 million loss,
certainly Obama would find a different way to fund this program?&nbsp; No.&nbsp;
So don't expect an Affordable Housing Trust Fund anytime soon.</div>
<div id="xl_3">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="xl_30">There are a few planks that are really more geared
toward middle-class housing than low-income housing, so I will mention
them in the economic position paper discussion.&nbsp;&nbsp; But Obama does
mention the Community Development Block Grant program, of which I am a
big fan, and he promises to restore its funding to pre-Bush levels.</div>
<div id="n_l:">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="n_l:0">There is a section with three planks on health care.&nbsp;&nbsp;
Besides the obvious (support for universal health care), there were a
couple of interesting pieces.&nbsp; The first was increased funding for
fighting health disparities between races and ethnicities.&nbsp; The second
is a policy to increase funding for smart planning of roads, parks,
neighborhoods, etc. that will address health problems they provide (for
example, suburbs are bad for your health because you cannot walk
anywhere).</div>
<div id="s1ma">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="s1ma0">Under the section "Tackle concentrated Urban Poverty",
Obama proposes a White House Office on Urban Policy.&nbsp; It's an
interesting proposal.&nbsp; Name any of the following secretaries: HUD,
Transportation, Labor, Commerce.&nbsp; I bet you couldn't (actually, since
you are reading this blog, you probably could).&nbsp; The office would be&nbsp;a
good idea because it would be like the National Security Advisor of
domestic policy, an easily recognizable figure that has the ear of the
president in a way that those secretaries don't (one of my favorite
stories is when Ronald Reagan mistook his HUD secretary, Sam Pierce,
for Mayor Tom Bradley, even though Pierce had been a part of his
administration for over six months, and Bradley had been mayor of LA
when Reagan was governor of California).&nbsp; I would probably throw
Education and HHS in there as well.&nbsp; Granted, there is already an
office of Domestic Policy, so perhaps Obama might be better off just
giving that office more teeth.</div>
<div id="c-qi">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="c-qi0">Obama talks about providing additional resources to
local branches of federal offices like the Small Business
Administration.&nbsp;&nbsp; He wants to establish promise neighborhoods, that
have holistic approaches to poverty fighting from birth to college.&nbsp;
Obama would request that cities and private enterprise provides half of
the funding for these communities.&nbsp; </div>
<div id="qtk8">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="qtk80">And finally, way at the end of the paper, is a
discussion of rural poverty.&nbsp; Obama supports increased investment in
rural infrastructure.&nbsp; By describing a "comprehensive federal effort",
Obama is effectively calling for subsidies of technology in rural
areas.&nbsp; And finally, Obama promotes the growth of biofuels as an
investment in rural America.&nbsp;</div>
<div id="dx_i">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="dx_i0">So taking stock of what we have, and what we haven't,
what do we find?&nbsp; We find that, frankly, there is not a whole lot of
attention paid to poverty in the '08 election, which isn't terribly
surprising.&nbsp; People are too concerned about keeping their own jobs to
worry about programs that invest in jobs for low-income Americans.</div>
<div id="mpll">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="mpll0">Obama's plan is clearly more detailed than that of
Senator McCain.&nbsp; Is it better?&nbsp; Probably.&nbsp; Would Senator Obama be a
better candidate for low-income Americans?&nbsp; I would imagine.&nbsp; But it is
important to not expect too much out of him.&nbsp; Just because he is a city
man who represented an urban district in state senate and an urban
state in the US Senate, he will only be able to do so much.&nbsp; </div>
<div id="mpll1">&nbsp;</div>
<div id="mpll2">We also see that poverty-fighting as it was done in the
good old days is no more.&nbsp;&nbsp; In a way, the Great Society was the World
War II of the wars on poverty.&nbsp; You knew who were the good guys and the
government did the heavy lifting.&nbsp;Granted, we lost the war (mainly
because we were too busy fighting another war), but it was the "good
war" when it started, unburdened by racial tensions and mismanagement.&nbsp;
&nbsp;Now poverty fighting on both sides of the aisle&nbsp;is starting to look
like Iraq: limited engagements, skirmishes dragging on, privatizing
development/reconstruction, alliances with seedy characters, and above
all: unpopularity in the general public.&nbsp; </div>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Rumors of Media Crush on Obama Greatly Exaggerated</title><id>http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/7/30/rumors-of-media-crush-on-obama-greatly-exaggerated.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/7/30/rumors-of-media-crush-on-obama-greatly-exaggerated.html"/><author><name>Daniel Rozenson</name></author><published>2008-07-30T03:05:53Z</published><updated>2008-07-30T03:05:53Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<A href="http://www.cmpa.com/Studies/Election08/election%20news%207_29_08.htm"></A>
<P>"After months of frustration about what they see as fawning media coverage of Barack Obama, John McCain's campaign went on the offensive Tuesday with a Web video called 'The media is in LOVE with Barack.'" So opens a <A href="http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/nation/la-na-mccain23-2008jul23,0,5592539.story?track=rss"><em>Los Angeles Times</em> article</A> last week entitled, "Press coverage of Obama puts envy in the air at McCain headquarters." Yes, McCain is not getting negative press coverage because he makes gaffe after gaffe, it is because the <A href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wKsoXHYICqU">"I Got a Crush on Obama" video</A> was actually a documentary; Obama girl is Katie Couric.</P>
<P>The LAT article continues:</P>
<blockquote>
<P>On McCain's plane from New Hampshire to Baltimore on Tuesday, advisor Mark Salter cited analyses by the Project for Excellence in Journalism, which studies the fairness of coverage by evaluating campaign articles. The project found Obama had a "distinct advantage" over McCain in the six weeks since Hillary Rodham Clinton left the race. Obama has appeared as a leading newsmaker in 78% of election stories, and McCain in 51%.<br><br>Salter joked that he'd moved from anger to resignation. "It is what it is," he said. "I would contend that the facts will show that Obama gets 50% more attention in the news than McCain does, post the primaries. I don't know if that is good or bad for us."</P></blockquote>Well this may surprise the McCain campaign and other proponents of liberal bias, but it's actually probably helping McCain. George Mason University's Center for Media and Public Affairs <A href="http://www.cmpa.com/Studies/Election08/election%20news%207_29_08.htm">studied the election coverage</A> of the Big Three networks over the six weeks since Clinton dropped out, and Obama has received worse coverage -- 72% of his stories were "negative," as opposed to 57% for McCain. On Fox News Special Report, 79% of stories on Obama were negative. Another reason to be skeptical about liberal media bias.]]></content></entry><entry><title>Trading Places</title><id>http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/7/28/trading-places.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/7/28/trading-places.html"/><author><name>Paz</name></author><published>2008-07-28T13:57:00Z</published><updated>2008-07-28T13:57:00Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<P>I want to take a quick break from campaign coverage (this week: poverty policy- don't miss it)&nbsp; to discuss a very interesting cover article in the New Republic this week.&nbsp; The title is <A href="http://tnr.com/politics/story.html?id=264510ca-2170-49cd-bad5-a0be122ac1a9&amp;p=1">"Trading Places: <span class=articleText>The demographic inversion of the American city"</span></A>&nbsp;, and it is one of the best looks at a very interesting demographic trend.&nbsp; </P>
<P>Everyone knows the basic theory of what has happened in urban America (and when I speak of urban&nbsp;America, understand that I am talking about your average&nbsp;Rust Belt city such as Chicago, Philly, Cleveland, Pittsburgh, etc and your old Sunbelt&nbsp;cities like Atlanta, Miami, and Richmond.&nbsp;Sunbelt cities such as Houston,&nbsp;San&nbsp;Jose, and Phoenix have developed in a completely different way&nbsp;since the 50s, mainly by simply expanding the city limits outward.)&nbsp;over the last half-century.&nbsp; People moved out of the city and into suburban housing, creating the so-called "urban doughnut" (a ring with nothing in the middle).&nbsp; The city suffered its gradual decline for 30 or 40 years.</P>
<P>Around the time that we were born, there was a bit of a redevelopment that occurred.&nbsp; A few trendy neighborhoods began to pop up in these cities, but these were exceptions rather than rules.&nbsp; And by and large, these neighborhoods were in the downtown area, which at the time did not suit residential development, only recreational.</P>
<P>But since the turn of the century, we've seen a great deal of residential development in urban areas.&nbsp; People are starting to stay out in downtown at night, and other neighborhoods have begun to pick up as well.&nbsp; As the article points out, this is not just run of the mill gentrification.&nbsp; There are families moving in to townhouses in formerly working class city neighborhoods.</P>
<P>Now one might say that this is a real estate issue, not a political one.&nbsp;&nbsp; However,&nbsp; real estate is politics.&nbsp; Remember that in the 1950's racial discrimination in suburban housing contributed to the problems of the 70's.&nbsp; Issues of violence, poverty, transportation, and such, become more pressing now.&nbsp;&nbsp; And it's not just urban communities that are seeing a new set of challenges:&nbsp; formally middle class suburbs are seeing rises in section 8 housing, and are seeing conflicts within municipal government on how to provide services to poorer residents (and, interestingly enough, immigrants).&nbsp; </P>
<P>Perhaps the doughnut theory of urban America is obsolete.&nbsp; In its stead, I'd like to offer a new theory: the target theory.&nbsp; A trend is beginning to develop of alternating levels of income in urban regions.&nbsp; In the center, formerly left vacant by the loss of heavy industry, is the newly revitalized and affluent center city, dominated by young urban professionals, singles, and wealthy empty-nesters.&nbsp; The next ring would be the older suburbs, those first populated in the 50's.&nbsp; As gentrification and wholesale revitalization occur, property values increase to the point where working class and poor individuals can no longer afford to live in the inner city, and so move to the city's periphery or the older suburbs.&nbsp; Then comes the wealthy exurban suburbs created by "white flight" and the desire to build McMansions.&nbsp; Finally, on the fringe of urban areas, the quasi-rural (and typically poor) small towns, for whom the flashy development of the downtown is far away.&nbsp; The theory clearly does not hold true for all urban areas, but the aforementioned article is just more proof that, slowly but surely, downtown (or "dauntaun" as we colloquially pronounce it in Pittsburgh) is making a comeback.</P>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Berlin Helps Obama</title><id>http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/7/27/berlin-helps-obama.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/7/27/berlin-helps-obama.html"/><author><name>Daniel Rozenson</name></author><published>2008-07-27T06:00:07Z</published><updated>2008-07-27T06:00:07Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[Two weeks ago, Anne Applebaum <a href="http://www.slate.com/id/2195304/">argued for the wisdom</a> behind Barack Obama's big speech near the Brandenburg Gate and more generally his tour of the world. Among other reasons, Americans might support Obama's appearances abroad because <blockquote><p>It matters how America is perceived abroad, and not just because it's nice to
be popular. When America and American values are admired in other countries,
American politicians have more influence on foreign affairs.</p></blockquote>Right. And since Obama is clearly the more popular choice in Europe, the large, adoring crowds that greeted him in Germany demonstrated his appeal -- and, perhaps, his potential ability to use that appeal to advance American interests.

It's also apparent that the visit helped him domestically. Nate Silver <a href="http://blogs.tnr.com/tnr/blogs/the_plank/archive/2008/07/26/today-s-polls-democrats-are-driving-obama-s-berlin-bounce.aspx">explains</a> how:
<blockquote><a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/109099/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Retains-Lead-48-41.aspx">Gallup</a> shows [Obama] ahead by 7 points, tying his best-ever margin in that poll, while <a href="http://rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll">Rasmussen</a> has him ahead by 6. What Obama's foreign policy trip may have done, and particularly his speech in Berlin, is to refresh enthusiasm among his core supporters. Fully 60 percent of Democrats now have a very favorable opinion of Obama, according to Rasmussen's latest numbers. That number is improved from 53 percent a week ago. During that time frame, Obama has gained 6 points of support among Democrats, capturing 82 percent of their votes rather than 76. Half of that gain comes from undecided voters, while the other half comes from McCain.
</blockquote>
]]></content></entry><entry><title>Dread and Odium on the Campaign Trail '08: Transportation</title><category>08 Election Issues</category><id>http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/7/22/dread-and-odium-on-the-campaign-trail-08-transportation.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/7/22/dread-and-odium-on-the-campaign-trail-08-transportation.html"/><author><name>Paz</name></author><published>2008-07-22T21:16:34Z</published><updated>2008-07-22T21:16:34Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<p>&nbsp;</p>
<DIV id=nwou>So dear reader, allow me to begin my examination of the candidates' position papers by looking at the issue most on the minds of voters: transportation. Or not.<br></DIV>
<DIV id=nwou0>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=nwou1>I picked transportation first because the plans are simple.&nbsp; Or at least one of them is pretty simple.&nbsp; <A id=pz34 title="Here is the McCain transportation plan." href="http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/Issues/17671aa4-2fe8-4008-859f-0ef1468e96f4.htm#2">Here is the McCain transportation plan.</A>&nbsp; A search on his website turned up this article, so I am presuming that it is the link the campaign felt is the most relevant.&nbsp;&nbsp; <A id=i093 title="Here is the Obama transportation plan." href="http://www.barackobama.com/issues/pdf/FactSheetTransportation.pdf">Here is the Obama transportation plan.</A>&nbsp; It was located in the "Additional Issues" section.&nbsp;&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=g:mw>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=g:mw0>Let's sit down with McCain's position paper for a moment.&nbsp;&nbsp; To begin with, there isn't one.&nbsp; The transportation policy I'm reading is coming from his energy policy page, which, while certainly a large portion of a transportation policy, does not come close to describing an holistic approach to transportation policy.&nbsp;His policy&nbsp;to "reform the transportation sector" discusses the development of clean car technology, and the&nbsp;tax credit and $300 million dollar prize he is&nbsp;issuing to make it happen.&nbsp; Noble and necessary, to be sure.&nbsp; But unless these clean cars are flying through the air, they are still going to need to make&nbsp;use of our&nbsp;(now crumbling) roads, bridges, and tunnels.&nbsp;The rest of the&nbsp;policies described increasing the number of fuel flex vehicles (citing Brazil as a success story), looking at alcohol based fuel,&nbsp;eliminating subsidies and tariffs that protect the ethanol industry, and enforcing existing CAFE standards on fuel efficiency.&nbsp;Trying to give him the benefit of the doubt, I searched his campaign site for some reference to key transportation issues.&nbsp; "Amtrak" returned nothing.&nbsp; The most relevant hit for "Infrastructure" was a speech in&nbsp;Kentucky detailing an "information infrastructure".</DIV>
<DIV id=ix9k>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=ix9k0>We next move on to Senator Obama's plan.&nbsp; And there is in fact a "plan" for transportation.&nbsp; It is 3 pages long in pdf form, and the link is posted up above.&nbsp; Just the fact that there is a document, an honest to God paper that details his position, speaks volumes on the fact that this issue matters to the campaign (or at least matters to voters the campaign is trying to woo over).&nbsp; </DIV>
<DIV id=itt2>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=itt20>The first section of the plan is a description of Obama's plan for transportation infrastructure.&nbsp;I don't know if everyone has the same relationship with their state departments of transportation as we do in Pennsylvania, but a little saying we have on the Western side about PennDOT is "The shortest distance between two points is under construction".&nbsp; Pittsburgh, as most Rust Belt cities, has a horribly bad pothole system, dilapidated bridges, and breaking water mains (the last one isn't really transportation related, but it usually blocks the road, so I lumped it in as well).&nbsp;&nbsp; Some good investment in roadways could do wonders for a place like Pittsburgh, as I'd imagine it would just about anywhere.&nbsp;&nbsp; Obama advocates investing $60 billion dollars over the next decade into infrastructure, which he estimates would employ about 2 million people and generate another $35 billion in new economic activity.&nbsp;&nbsp; This is classic countercyclical fiscal policy, and while the Keynesians and the (non?/anti?)Keynesians can argue over its effectiveness at spurring private investment, I would venture to say that there is certainly a construction industry that would love to be out there building (seeing as how the housing climate isn't exactly the most favorable right now).</DIV>
<DIV id=yt8x>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=yt8x0>Obama then talks about some vague ways to modernize air traffic control and strengthen airline regulations.&nbsp;These policies don't really have too much to do with this part of the position paper, and would probably be better suited in the final subcategory.</DIV>
<DIV id=fi6u>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=fi6u0>We come now to one of my favorite transportation related issues: Amtrak.&nbsp; Obama claims that he supports federal funding for Amtrak, though he wants more accountability in the rail transit system.&nbsp;He also supports the development of more high speed rail lines for&nbsp;passengers and freight.&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=wk6y>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=wk6y0>Pandermoniam alert!&nbsp; The next two planks describe Obama's commitment to the Essential Air Service, which subsidizes flights to and from small towns,&nbsp; and support for modernizing the locks and damn systems on the upper Mississippi and Illinois rivers.</DIV>
<DIV id=vltz>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=vltz0>The final plank in the subsection on "revitalizing transportation infrastructure" is a commitment to double the funding for JARC (Jobs Access and Reverse Commute).&nbsp; JARC is designed to help people living in areas with few opportunities for jobs (mainly urban areas and older suburbs) get to work in areas where there are jobs (mainly suburban retail corridors).&nbsp; The system isn't perfect, but it's a good start.</DIV>
<DIV id=djxe>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=djxe0>The second subsection in Obama's plan is improving public transportation.&nbsp; One plank is a vague (and numberless) recommitment of federal funds to public transportation.&nbsp;&nbsp; An interesting proposal is a plan to fix the tax code so that the tax free public transit benefits an employer can provide ($105 a month) are the same as the the tax free parking benefits and employer can provide ($205 a month).&nbsp; He promises more support for Metropolitan Planning Organizations that increase access to bike lanes and sidewalks.&nbsp; Obama would also require energy conservation to be considered when state and local governments are applying for federal funds (as opposed to just "ask[ing]" that they consider).</DIV>
<DIV id=fkdd>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=fkdd0>We come then to the final category: safeguarding transportation from terrorism.&nbsp;&nbsp; Obama would develop a meaningful infrastructure protection plan with DHS.&nbsp; He would streamline the no-fly list, and increase the number of airport screeners.&nbsp; Finally, he would provide the requisite funding for rail and transit security programs.</DIV>
<DIV id=zna5>&nbsp;</DIV>
<DIV id=zna50>On one hand, Obama clearly has a better transportation policy just by the fact that he actually has a transportation policy.&nbsp;But some of his planks are vague and are not very solid bases for policy.&nbsp; Still, advantage Obama on transportation, I believe.</DIV>]]></content></entry><entry><title>Dread and Odium on the Campaign Trail '08: The Position Paper</title><id>http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/7/15/dread-and-odium-on-the-campaign-trail-08-the-position-paper.html</id><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.gwdiscourse.com/domesticintelblog/2008/7/15/dread-and-odium-on-the-campaign-trail-08-the-position-paper.html"/><author><name>Paz</name></author><published>2008-07-15T10:50:00Z</published><updated>2008-07-15T10:50:00Z</updated><content type="html" xml:lang="en-US"><![CDATA[<P id=s0cb>For all the glitz, glamour, and easily compressable soundbites that are a part of a presidential campaign, there is a vast collection of information about the candidates' policies.&nbsp;&nbsp; You most likely will not hear Wolf Blitzer or Candy Crowley reading from the candidate's position papers, but they are extremely important in determining what the trends might be in a presidential election.&nbsp;&nbsp; The use of the internet as a way of gaining information about candidates has increased the visibility of the position papers, but probably not the frequency with which they are read.&nbsp; In an effort to save you from having to pour through cliches , vague proposals, and trite phrases, I will take a look at several position papers over the coming weeks to determine just what it is that the two men running for POTUS really stand for.</P>
<P id=s0cb1>As you open up the "Issues" pages on both candidates' websites, two different trends emerge instantly.&nbsp;&nbsp; <A id=md2b title="Barack Obama" href="http://www.barackobama.com/issues/">Barack Obama</A> has right at the top of his page a "Blueprint for Change", which is essentially the bundeling of about a dozen different position papers.&nbsp;&nbsp; It is almost as if he feels the need to, from the onset, provide some sort of "concrete" plan for enacting his soaring rhetoric.&nbsp; Following the blueprint, the rest of the issues are listed alphabetically (which puts Civil Rights, Defense, and Disabilites as the&nbsp;first three issues).&nbsp;Next to the issue name is a small blue box with&nbsp;a computer generated image to represent the issue.&nbsp;There are 22 issues listed on the page, and there is a dropdown for "additional issues", which holds another six issues.&nbsp; Interestingly enough, the issue page for "women" appears on the dropdown in the toolbar, but not on the issues page itself.&nbsp; </P>
<P id=dqxe0>There is no overarching&nbsp;blueprint on John McCain's site.&nbsp; He&nbsp;only lists 16 issues compared to Obama's 29 (including "women" and "additional issues"), a nearly 2:1 disadvantage for McCain.&nbsp;&nbsp; However, <A id=tgq6 title="McCain's" href="http://www.johnmccain.com/Informing/Issues/"><font id=c7bn style="COLOR: #800080" color=#800080>McCain's</font></A> issues are grouped in rows of three, with large stock photographs of majestic mountains, grain silos, and smiling families.&nbsp;&nbsp; His issues are not in alphabetical order, although it is hard to tell precisely what order they are in (the issue list on the toolbar only has 12 issues, and these are listed in a different order than those on the issue page).&nbsp; The first three issues when the webpage opens?&nbsp; The economy, energy, and national security.</P>
<P id=jx0f0>&nbsp;Frankly, both of these pages could use some work on them.&nbsp;The linear nature of Obama's website is less appealing, as is his obession with all things blue.&nbsp; Still, the site is organized, clean, and informative.&nbsp; McCain on the other hand, has his work cut out for him.&nbsp; To begin with, even with as few issue links as he has, it feels as though he is making issues up.&nbsp; In an effort at full disclosure, as of this writing, I have not clicked on any of the actual issues for either candidate, so I am basing this solely off of the opening page.&nbsp;&nbsp; But seperate pages for Energy, Climate Change, and something rather vague called "Natural Heritage"?&nbsp; Really, Senator?&nbsp;&nbsp; And why is education the last issue on your list, behind such issue-heavy hitters as "space program" and "agricultural policies"?&nbsp; At least with Obama's alphabetical order, he can't be criticized for picking a bad issue order.</P>
<P id=s7qw0>At this point, I am going to shift gears and, instead of criticizing the layout of the issue pages, begin looking at the issues themselves.&nbsp;&nbsp;My focus at first will be the issues that matter most near and dear to me, urban and social policy.&nbsp; I will look at the candidates' proposals on transportation, urban development, housing, poverty/welfare, working families, entitlements, and probably education.&nbsp; These are issues (with maybe the exception of the last two) that almost never see the light of day on the campaign trail (how often have you heard either candidate speak about Amtrak?),&nbsp;but they are extremely important to me, and should be important to everyone living in a metropolitan area (which is nearly everyone).&nbsp;&nbsp;At some point closer to November, after I get some practice in at this, I would like to look at the two social policy issues that do occasionally make it to the evening news, the economy (in a general sense) and health care.&nbsp;I may also look at John McCain's space proposal, just because it sounds kind of neat.</P>
<P id=xb:x>&nbsp;I will be basing my look at these issues only on webpages accessable from the issue pages of the two candidates, as I figure that would be wear the average American would go to find such information.&nbsp; Right off the bat, McCain is at a disadvantage here, because while there are a few pages on Obama's site dedicated to these issues (a page for transportation, a page for poverty, etc.), there are not for McCain.&nbsp; This means that someone looking for information on McCain's urban housing policy would have to page through the issues that he already has and try to find it (I get a sneaking suspicion that he does not have an articulated policy on how to deal with urban blight, though as the Republican nominee, that is his appanage).</P>
<P id=v23m0>The next several weeks will likely read like <A id=cboa title="a list of vague resume verbs" href="http://www.sru.edu/pages/11065.asp">a list of&nbsp; vague resume verbs</A>, as position papers have a tendency to make the candidate sound like they have an idea of what they are doing, while offering very little in the way of concrete plans.&nbsp; Still, as vague as they are, position papers serve an important purpose: giving political junkies like me something to read in between issues of Mother Jones and the Atlantic Monthly.&nbsp; </P>]]></content></entry></feed>